happy666
0xd17e2edc06063207c186f8089a513a04046b7a0c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $2.01M
- Markets traded
- 2,416
- Open portfolio
- $67.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,416
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$609.12at 0.545Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?
- +$565.63at 0.230Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$528.62at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?
- +$358.55at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
- +$259.67at 0.481Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.3582425 | $71.65 |
| 09-27 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.94 |
| 09-23 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.01 |
| 09-21 11:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.9k |
| 09-19 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.4536273941 | $31.26 |
| 09-19 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.4662615922 | $38.71 |
| 09-19 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.38 |
| 09-17 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.3370240255 | $46.43 |
| 09-17 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.51 | $27.81 |
| 09-13 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-13 04:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-13 04:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-13 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-13 04:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-13 04:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |