happy666
0xd17e2edc06063207c186f8089a513a04046b7a0c
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $1.45M
- Markets traded
- 1,031
- Open portfolio
- $858.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,031
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.85at 0.545Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?
- +$534.92at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?
- +$439.43at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
- +$265.89at 0.468Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 17?
- +$259.98at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $65.25 |
| 08-07 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $807.19 |
| 08-06 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.96 | $224.64 |
| 08-06 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $126.38 |
| 08-06 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.34 | $59.31 |
| 08-06 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9156541131 | $439.34 |
| 08-06 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $545.30 |
| 08-06 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.4039260493 | $201.33 |
| 08-06 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.3881 | $77.62 |
| 08-06 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3676125512 | $183.23 |
| 08-06 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.74 |
| 08-06 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.268 | $13.40 |
| 08-05 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-05 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.3614215 | $72.28 |
| 08-04 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $39.59 |