PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

happy666

0xd17e2edc06063207c186f8089a513a04046b7a0c

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$2.01M
Markets traded
2,416
Open portfolio
$67.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,416
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? · Yes0.4600.340$67.02−$23.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$23.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$3.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00−$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$3.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$3.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$21.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$8.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.1430.000$0.00−$11.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$7.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$20.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$13.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$2.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$5.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$8.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?SELL0.3582425$71.65
09-27 08:19Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28?SELL0.39$3.94
09-23 04:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23?SELL0.32$4.01
09-21 11:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$4.9k
09-19 16:54Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20?SELL0.4536273941$31.26
09-19 16:54Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?SELL0.4662615922$38.71
09-19 04:21Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19?SELL0.25$2.38
09-17 04:37Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.3370240255$46.43
09-17 02:59Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.51$27.81
09-13 04:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-13 04:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-13 04:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-13 04:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-13 04:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-13 04:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.51$20.40