bald.arthur
0xd17d53045bd776c76a71a0876bdd761962c119d7
- Realised P&L
- $-82.47
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $38.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Bengals · Jaguars | 0.430 | 0.425 | $9.88 | −$0.12 |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers | 0.380 | 0.375 | $9.87 | −$0.13 |
| Spread: Saints (-2.5) · Saints | 0.510 | 0.495 | $9.71 | −$0.29 |
| Chargers vs. Seahawks · Chargers | 0.260 | 0.245 | $9.42 | −$0.58 |
| Harold Fannin Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 · Over | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.36at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$18.67at 0.452St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
- +$18.38at 0.357KC Concepcion Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5
- +$17.55at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$15.68at 0.477KC Concepcion Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:00 | Chargers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 00:00 | Spread: Saints (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 23:58 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 23:58 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 23:51 | KC Concepcion Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 23:51 | Harold Fannin Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-01 23:50 | KC Concepcion Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 10-01 23:50 | KC Concepcion Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 10-01 23:50 | KC Concepcion Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 17:25 | Counter-Strike: maybe vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $15.00 |
| 08-21 15:45 | Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage | BUY | 0.33 | $15.00 |
| 08-21 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 22:35 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.63 | $15.00 |