Hcd1
0xd177b3313904670e2dd5ff1201ed6c065eaf1c8a
- Realised P&L
- $37.68
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $16.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.96at 0.716Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?
- +$64.74at 0.602Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?
- +$64.51at 0.577Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
- +$58.27at 0.417Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
- +$53.72at 0.355Spread: Portugal (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 06:58 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4399999923 | $16.00 |
| 10-05 20:17 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.12 |
| 10-05 19:39 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.3299999949 | $13.00 |
| 10-04 17:51 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5799999966 | $34.00 |
| 10-02 20:20 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.09 | $4.60 |
| 10-02 17:48 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4299999975 | $22.00 |
| 10-01 20:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-01 19:41 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 18:47 | Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 09-26 19:42 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.19 | $14.35 |
| 09-26 10:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4499999974 | $34.00 |
| 09-25 19:43 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.3 | $12.35 |
| 09-25 17:33 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $21.00 |
| 09-24 11:46 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.67 |
| 09-24 09:28 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $15.00 |