WeatherBoiOriginal
0xd175821c10a473a01ffda05f1e01e47bfd64f79c
- Realised P&L
- $-192.60
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $541.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.77at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$160.25at 0.472Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
- +$89.01at 0.492Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic - Map 2 Winner
- +$77.92at 0.462Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
- +$74.60at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.9664653287 | $82.00 |
| 09-17 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9 | $125.00 |
| 09-17 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.904727249 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.8838717621 | $90.00 |
| 09-17 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9162282556 | $110.00 |
| 09-17 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.997 | $59.52 |
| 09-17 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.8374978305 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9619007936 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 16:54 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $304.04 |
| 09-17 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.9981025712 | $180.51 |
| 09-17 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.997 | $135.07 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $140.00 |
| 09-17 15:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.9885964816 | $144.42 |
| 09-17 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $170.00 |
| 09-17 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $171.21 |