PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WeatherBoiOriginal

0xd175821c10a473a01ffda05f1e01e47bfd64f79c

Realised P&L
$-192.60
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$541.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:08Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17?BUY0.9664653287$82.00
09-17 19:36Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?BUY0.9$125.00
09-17 19:35Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?BUY0.904727249$100.00
09-17 19:34Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17?BUY0.8838717621$90.00
09-17 19:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17?BUY0.9162282556$110.00
09-17 18:17Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?SELL0.997$59.52
09-17 16:59Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?BUY0.8374978305$50.00
09-17 16:58Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.9619007936$120.00
09-17 16:54Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$304.04
09-17 16:54Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?SELL0.9981025712$180.51
09-17 16:53Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17?SELL0.997$135.07
09-17 16:01Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.4599999986$140.00
09-17 15:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?SELL0.9885964816$144.42
09-17 15:41Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.9399999991$170.00
09-17 15:41Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?SELL0.999$171.21