kickflipmcgee
0xd1639debacd3de3e34cdfaa1102be8709b411428
- Realised P&L
- $-12.1k
- Volume
- $171.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MTX vs eSuba (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · MTX | 0.430 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$86.72 |
| Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.54 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.71 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · FlyQuest | 0.449 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$348.80 |
| Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.80 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 0.401 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$571.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.184Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
- +$1.1kat 0.529Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$879.05at 0.414Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
- +$575.39at 0.340Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B
- +$552.33at 0.612Will Kanye name his token YZY?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 19:41 | Counter-Strike: MTX vs eSuba (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season | BUY | 0.4299630077 | $86.82 |
| 10-13 02:36 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.409999996 | $36.70 |
| 10-12 01:53 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs DENDELE CS (BO5) - FRAG University Playoffs | BUY | 0.7777272727 | $17.11 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0457321491 | $77.80 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0593002308 | $36.99 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0194026326 | $21.40 |
| 07-12 03:39 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899999992 | $190.71 |
| 06-02 18:08 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 06-02 18:06 | Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $6.41 |
| 06-02 18:06 | Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.0066784359 | $3.12 |
| 06-02 18:05 | Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $21.53 |
| 06-02 18:05 | Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $11.22 |
| 06-02 17:30 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BUY | 0.3378906854 | $192.26 |
| 06-02 17:29 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BUY | 0.34008 | $61.21 |
| 06-02 17:28 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BUY | 0.41 | $194.25 |