trader-d163084d
0xd163084dace43bf16ff891b05209b5ff3fcc9841
- Realised P&L
- $-508.98
- Volume
- $40.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,329
- Open portfolio
- $5.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,329
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $4.90 | +$0.10 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.006 | $0.32 | −$15.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.68at 0.200UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$68.46at 0.059Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$39.59at 0.320Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
- +$21.80at 0.482Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$18.80at 0.420Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-05 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-05 21:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 21:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 21:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 21:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 19:16 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.86 |
| 10-05 19:13 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.31728 | $1.59 |
| 10-05 19:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-05 19:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-05 19:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-05 19:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-05 16:05 | XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |