XWECHAT
0xd1629f2a80159fd599f3b75d5095114758e07002
- Realised P&L
- $-73.32
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $166.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.548 | 0.395 | $63.32 | −$24.56 |
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.650 | $59.58 | +$15.58 |
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 30? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.715 | $43.68 | +$23.68 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.20 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.54at 0.646Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$-15.84at 0.688Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:20 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.4799999983 | $44.00 |
| 09-27 14:19 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 30? | BUY | 0.3273542403 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 17:27 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5482419817 | $87.88 |
| 09-08 17:27 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5940645077 | $90.62 |
| 08-19 01:16 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6901333333 | $4.14 |
| 08-19 01:15 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7238411765 | $36.92 |
| 08-19 01:14 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6552899309 | $62.61 |
| 07-24 00:03 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.6465039038 | $65.00 |
| 06-25 01:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999933 | $24.20 |
| 06-09 06:05 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999937 | $18.00 |
| 04-30 13:31 | Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival? | BUY | 0.1838709636 | $30.00 |
| 04-18 10:30 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |