PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sgwegw

0xd1614ba6d33aa70beb4b8fc64eae5deb5afe379e

Realised P&L
$-67.94
Volume
$23.0k
Markets traded
256
Open portfolio
$259.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded256
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2? · No0.7191.000$72.86+$20.48
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 2? · No0.6600.880$72.10+$18.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3? · No0.7310.880$62.60+$10.60
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 3? · No0.8300.570$33.88−$15.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? · No0.6800.500$17.70−$6.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3?BUY0.7309336108$52.00
11-01 23:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.7185133303$52.38
11-01 16:13Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 3?BUY0.83$28.88
11-01 14:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 3?BUY0.83$20.46
11-01 12:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.68$12.65
11-01 12:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.68$3.86
11-01 12:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.68$7.56
10-31 20:10Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.66$38.28
10-31 17:19Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 1?BUY0.7099999925$15.17
10-31 14:50Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 1?BUY0.6899999874$18.00
10-30 12:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?BUY0.75$20.95
10-30 05:51Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31?BUY0.2089005235$19.00
10-29 16:25Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?BUY0.8099999983$33.79
10-29 15:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?BUY0.84$31.80
10-29 07:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?SELL0.999$68.02