sgwegw
0xd1614ba6d33aa70beb4b8fc64eae5deb5afe379e
- Realised P&L
- $-67.94
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $259.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2? · No | 0.719 | 1.000 | $72.86 | +$20.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 2? · No | 0.660 | 0.880 | $72.10 | +$18.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3? · No | 0.731 | 0.880 | $62.60 | +$10.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 3? · No | 0.830 | 0.570 | $33.88 | −$15.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? · No | 0.680 | 0.500 | $17.70 | −$6.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.61at 0.268Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 22?
- +$69.82at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 20?
- +$56.14at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 15?
- +$50.56at 0.264Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?
- +$41.86at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.7309336108 | $52.00 |
| 11-01 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7185133303 | $52.38 |
| 11-01 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.83 | $28.88 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.83 | $20.46 |
| 11-01 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.68 | $12.65 |
| 11-01 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.86 |
| 11-01 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.56 |
| 10-31 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.66 | $38.28 |
| 10-31 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7099999925 | $15.17 |
| 10-31 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6899999874 | $18.00 |
| 10-30 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.95 |
| 10-30 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.2089005235 | $19.00 |
| 10-29 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.8099999983 | $33.79 |
| 10-29 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $31.80 |
| 10-29 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $68.02 |