allthatiamandeverwillbe
0xd15d72c44b49b53c9c4fa7d3db3533701fbcf4ce
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $94.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,584
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,584
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.20at 0.023Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- +$97.50at 0.025Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?
- +$77.90at 0.026Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- +$77.60at 0.030Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
- +$77.54at 0.031Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 22:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 10-16 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-16 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-16 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-16 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.232 | $2.32 |
| 10-16 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 10-16 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-16 07:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-16 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-16 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-16 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 10-15 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 10-15 21:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-15 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 10-15 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |