PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0f7l492ysa4r3

0xd15d58a6192adef0768fbb01976a5a52bbf17832

Realised P&L
$848.89
Volume
$79.4k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:05Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?SELL0.177$12.64
09-17 19:03Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?SELL0.18$5.06
09-17 18:59Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.6500654206$139.11
09-17 18:48Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.16$1.85
09-17 18:37Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.408$5.96
09-17 18:36Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.416$16.64
09-17 18:31Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.3801516077$44.81
09-17 06:16Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1105294856$14.09
09-16 21:40Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.05$1.21
09-16 21:40Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.055$3.49
09-12 21:15Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?BUY0.308$7.70
09-11 23:40Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?BUY0.07$0.35
09-10 01:02Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?SELL0.43$40.19
09-10 00:50Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?SELL0.4480604723$113.66
09-10 00:08Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?SELL0.4693601682$62.50