PolyBot

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Traders

0xD159C991748D783a614c07a0CA0eB4fE259F392B-1777629278998

0xd159c991748d783a614c07a0ca0eb4fe259f392b

Realised P&L
$-236.08
Volume
$43.4k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$256.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.007$256.54$119.71
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$1.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$1.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$5.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.0510.000$0.00$33.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$35.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.2320.000$0.00$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$1.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$1.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up0.0860.000$0.00$40.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00$1.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up-0.0140.000$0.00+$0.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.1220.000$0.00$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 12:05Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.011$376.26
05-05 12:02Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.08$35.00
05-05 11:58Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.04$10.00
05-05 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.16$10.00
05-05 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.1499999887$10.00
05-05 11:51Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.0599999972$20.00
05-05 11:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.1004387305$20.00
05-05 11:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.1499999966$35.00
05-05 11:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.3099999946$30.00
05-05 09:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.04$3.00
05-05 09:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.0546288853$20.00
05-05 09:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.05$10.00
05-04 22:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSELL0.39$45.00
05-04 22:25Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.2599999945$30.00
05-04 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSELL0.52$32.50