PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD158Ed5118d214B1649493894D9afFAA9b737CC4-1766964724510

0xd158ed5118d214b1649493894d9affaa9b737cc4

Realised P&L
$-42.87
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$20.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0800.105$13.19+$3.19
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0460.015$5.08$11.03
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.0600.018$1.75$4.25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$1.00
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$7.50
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Maduro mugshot released by Monday? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$11.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-07 17:50Epstein client list released by June 30?SELL0.215342$10.77
01-11 22:27EU dissolves before 2027?BUY0.046$10.21
01-11 17:04EU dissolves before 2027?SELL0.0444149793$8.88
01-10 09:53Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$2.00
01-10 09:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?BUY0.0168316668$1.00
01-10 09:37Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?SELL0.1$10.00
01-10 00:41Epstein client list released by June 30?BUY0.14$7.00
01-10 00:33Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0401491793$6.92
01-09 16:43Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?BUY0.08$8.00
01-09 16:38Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?BUY0.0439999945$7.50
01-09 16:37Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?SELL0.0511457333$15.34
01-09 16:20Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0694374058$5.00
01-09 16:20Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.029$5.00
01-08 21:13Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.0665674793$6.53
01-08 20:31Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.0509999907$5.00