0xd150a33778aea28c0fa81eb06f09e2eea78d4366
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $98.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.835 | $83.52 | +$4.50 |
| Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.150 | $15.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.12at 0.249Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 20%-25%?
- +$-0.42at 0.076Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?
- +$-1.40at 0.094Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 15%-20%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.242 | $4.11 |
| 11-01 03:46 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.20 |
| 11-01 03:46 | Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.055 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 03:41 | Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | BUY | 0.7899999994 | $79.02 |
| 11-01 03:41 | Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 03:37 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.0939999978 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 03:37 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.2489999972 | $4.23 |
| 11-01 03:28 | Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.076 | $1.52 |