0xd14Edb4bC801f24A6cf77792bc1323Df51ecDE48-1764640554990
0xd14edb4bc801f24a6cf77792bc1323df51ecde48
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 809
- Open portfolio
- $14.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded809
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET · Up | 0.980 | 1.000 | $14.99 | +$0.29 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up | 0.964 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.62at 0.983Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$16.94at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$16.77at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$16.64at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$16.61at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-19 12:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.956 | $14.34 |
| 09-19 09:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $14.10 |
| 09-18 20:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 09-18 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $14.40 |
| 09-18 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-18 11:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-18 09:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $13.65 |
| 09-18 05:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-17 20:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.9802133333 | $14.70 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $13.95 |
| 09-17 16:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 09-17 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.9366666667 | $14.05 |
| 09-17 16:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $14.55 |
| 09-16 17:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.32475 | $25.98 |