0xD14d74f65a3C7B9572f42247a22c48859e23d689-1779239891273
0xd14d74f65a3c7b9572f42247a22c48859e23d689
- Realised P&L
- $-18.87
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $2.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.64at 0.106Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$11.00at 0.313Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$10.63at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$9.71at 0.340France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$9.29at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:40 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0166995584 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:37 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 3? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:04 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0708215297 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0335292179 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:48 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 1? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 00:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.055037263 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 01:44 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.58 |
| 07-27 07:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 07:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 07:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0696516807 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 17:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |