PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD14d74f65a3C7B9572f42247a22c48859e23d689-1779239891273

0xd14d74f65a3c7b9572f42247a22c48859e23d689

Realised P&L
$-45.98
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$4.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? · Yes0.0320.036$1.14+$0.14
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · Yes0.0060.005$0.92−$0.08
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? · Yes0.0570.049$0.86−$0.14
Will XRP reach $2.40 in October? · Yes0.0390.026$0.68−$0.32
Will Solana reach $180 in October? · Yes0.0390.022$0.58−$0.42
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5690.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5280.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Solana reach $75 on August 3? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 10:13Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.032$1.00
10-02 10:07Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?BUY0.006$1.00
10-02 10:06Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?BUY0.0571428571$1.00
10-02 05:01Will XRP reach $2.40 in October?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
10-02 04:59Will Solana reach $180 in October?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
09-01 11:02Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?BUY0.0849999286$1.00
09-01 11:00Will Solana reach $150 in September?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
09-01 10:57Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-29 00:58Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.009$0.54
08-29 00:57Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in August?SELL0.0073525353$0.49
08-29 00:57Will BNB reach $800 in August?SELL0.0689681968$4.60
08-21 01:09Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?BUY0.065999939$1.00
08-21 01:06Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on August 20?BUY0.0274577286$1.00
08-12 04:08Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in August?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
08-12 04:07Will BNB reach $800 in August?BUY0.0149999854$1.00