0xD14B1666746116D2923Eb344b816bA5C033D7efB-1780597409129
0xd14b1666746116d2923eb344b816ba5c033d7efb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.17
- Volume
- $227.68
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $7.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.695 | $7.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.44at 0.637Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?
- +$4.54at 0.805Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
- +$2.67at 0.765Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?
- +$1.96at 0.716Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$1.52at 0.769Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 18:31 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6899999754 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 18:14 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 18:10 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 18:01 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:32 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:42 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:55 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.9399999922 | $2.40 |
| 09-02 18:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $2.50 |
| 09-02 18:38 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 18:36 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 10:47 | Iceland vs. Turkiye | BUY | 0.9299999982 | $5.08 |
| 08-30 20:20 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 11:14 | Estonia vs. Finland | BUY | 0.8035999675 | $4.90 |
| 08-27 10:36 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.96 |
| 08-26 18:19 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9669998029 | $3.87 |