addictedtoagmbling
0xd147b88b2cfa2ed125fd03b7680bcec514aeecbd
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $646.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,567
- Open portfolio
- $500.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,567
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.440 | 1.000 | $299.85 | +$167.85 |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.260 | 1.000 | $199.90 | +$147.90 |
| Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$92.85 |
| Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.205 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$40.90 |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$34.90 |
| Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.190 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$37.90 |
| Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$8.93 |
| Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.50 |
| Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$603.16at 0.245VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
- +$455.06at 0.090Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?
- +$394.50at 0.210Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?
- +$355.30at 0.200Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
- +$342.48at 0.314Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 20:50 | Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 20:48 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 08-07 20:43 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 08-07 20:18 | Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 08-07 20:15 | Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-07 20:12 | VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.3015445 | $60.31 |
| 08-07 20:08 | Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-07 20:04 | Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 08-07 19:59 | Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.59 | $117.99 |
| 08-07 19:59 | Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 08-07 19:59 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 08-07 19:53 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 08-07 19:52 | Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-07 19:49 | Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 08-07 19:42 | Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.34 | $102.00 |