PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jont420

0xd147b2afa2c72d006da01409e5ceaec42cd7c2e8

Realised P&L
$-20.43
Volume
$484.87
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$2.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.017$1.65−$8.35
Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.4700.011$0.49−$19.51
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF? · Yes0.2410.001$0.04−$19.96
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:28Christopher Luxon out by September 30?SELL0.004$0.10
07-06 08:51Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
07-06 08:46Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0479999955$10.00
05-16 19:38Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF?BUY0.2412979072$20.00
05-03 23:46Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.4699999929$20.00
05-03 23:02Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.3913632616$10.00