0xD1436fd149ffE4EC20F385ECF91B55E54a8f83Ec-1762509323867
0xd1436fd149ffe4ec20f385ecf91b55e54a8f83ec
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $299.3k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $333.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.286Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$974.99at 0.070Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?
- +$903.80at 0.147Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?
- +$716.17at 0.877Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$410.85at 0.120Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5579382559 | $126.35 |
| 08-04 18:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.4499999988 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 05:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 05:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 16:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.1726958722 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 17:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.30 |
| 07-29 16:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.3409461426 | $4.68 |
| 07-29 05:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.42999996 | $5.91 |
| 07-29 05:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.38 | $6.40 |
| 07-29 03:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.4699999917 | $7.92 |
| 07-29 03:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.36 | $8.58 |
| 07-29 01:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.53 |
| 07-29 01:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.484 | $10.32 |
| 07-26 23:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.2790619502 | $5.95 |
| 07-25 16:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.52 | $6.53 |