PolyBot

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Traders

0xD1436fd149ffE4EC20F385ECF91B55E54a8f83Ec-1762509323867

0xd1436fd149ffe4ec20f385ecf91b55e54a8f83ec

Realised P&L
$25.7k
Volume
$715.3k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.1920.175$1.4k$129.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$3.16
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$49.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$19.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$27.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$44.65
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$251.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00$1.8k
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$4.30
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$40.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$28.35
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$108.56
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$92.57
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$69.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 15:26Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27?BUY0.18$5.76
09-21 14:28Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27?BUY0.1928776978$268.10
09-21 09:00Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.7910781872$6.8k
09-21 08:59Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.8$2.4k
09-21 08:57Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.8$802.40
09-21 08:23Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5752480686$83.25
09-19 15:42Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5684082917$1.2k
09-19 15:41Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.54$163.62
09-19 15:40Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.54$1.0k
09-19 15:34Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.53$20.14
09-19 15:33Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.53$1.4k
09-19 15:32Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.52$32.00
09-19 15:16Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?BUY0.1147946561$100.00
09-19 15:13Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5377426349$600.16
09-19 15:10Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5399211564$7.8k