0xD1436fd149ffE4EC20F385ECF91B55E54a8f83Ec-1762509323867
0xd1436fd149ffe4ec20f385ecf91b55e54a8f83ec
- Realised P&L
- $25.7k
- Volume
- $715.3k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.0kat 0.239Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?
- +$8.3kat 0.504Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$4.5kat 0.735Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
- +$3.2kat 0.552Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$1.9kat 0.305Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.76 |
| 09-21 14:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.1928776978 | $268.10 |
| 09-21 09:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.7910781872 | $6.8k |
| 09-21 08:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.4k |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.8 | $802.40 |
| 09-21 08:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5752480686 | $83.25 |
| 09-19 15:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5684082917 | $1.2k |
| 09-19 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.54 | $163.62 |
| 09-19 15:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.0k |
| 09-19 15:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.53 | $20.14 |
| 09-19 15:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.4k |
| 09-19 15:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.52 | $32.00 |
| 09-19 15:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1147946561 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 15:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5377426349 | $600.16 |
| 09-19 15:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5399211564 | $7.8k |