Elia12
0xd13e1585ab393467fe2351e6a9b4801f5b19f2d6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,414
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,414
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.895 | 0.935 | $626.88 | +$26.88 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.945 | 0.822 | $434.66 | −$65.34 |
| Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.842 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.790Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?
- +$2.3kat 0.983Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers
- +$2.0kat 0.713Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
- +$1.9kat 0.510Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?
- +$1.6kat 0.560Pistons vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:34 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.945 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 14:23 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $340.18 |
| 09-20 13:36 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8809999998 | $300.00 |
| 09-20 13:32 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8949139059 | $600.00 |
| 09-20 04:13 | CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $333.00 |
| 09-20 03:53 | CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $300.00 |
| 09-20 00:20 | São Paulo FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $333.00 |
| 09-20 00:04 | São Paulo FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 16:20 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 16:19 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 16:12 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8499999987 | $400.00 |
| 09-19 15:56 | Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.31 | $53.35 |
| 09-19 15:56 | Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.347778765 | $54.80 |
| 09-19 15:02 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 14:34 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $630.94 |