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0xd13d7f92e0f56784e2b0d5d771e85bdf587a28c8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $63.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,658
- Open portfolio
- $1.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,658
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$488.62at 0.542Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$380.75at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
- +$185.16at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$172.00at 0.631Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$124.93at 0.616Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.75 |
| 10-10 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.01 |
| 10-10 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.42 |
| 10-09 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.91 |
| 10-09 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.50 |
| 10-08 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.95 | $7.30 |
| 10-07 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.92 |
| 10-07 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |