0xd136d96491DC9D659220459c96A106D93676719D-1774464755966
0xd136d96491dc9d659220459c96a106d93676719d
- Realised P&L
- $-36.54
- Volume
- $32.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $2.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.004 | $0.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.66at 0.569Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?
- +$-0.96at 0.156Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 3?
- +$-2.00at 0.011Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$-27.00at 0.001Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 3? | BUY | 0.1559998783 | $0.92 |
| 04-02 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3? | BUY | 0.5693905685 | $8.61 |
| 03-25 19:46 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $17.00 |
| 03-25 19:31 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.00 |
| 03-25 19:30 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 03-25 19:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0110000001 | $2.00 |
| 03-25 19:19 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 19:02 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |