PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd13658f9fad49653a5354796c3d7d2e4418bd811

Realised P&L
$1.27
Volume
$361.21
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$80.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.5600.815$14.10+$4.41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7500.997$13.29+$3.29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.7500.895$11.93+$1.93
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5400.620$11.48+$1.48
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.6000.605$10.08+$0.08
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? · No0.7500.746$9.95$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.8000.415$5.04$4.68
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? · Yes0.2850.384$3.51+$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2100.024$1.12$8.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:21Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.6$10.00
08-03 12:16Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?BUY0.75$10.00
08-03 04:15Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.75$10.00
08-02 20:09Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
08-02 12:01Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-02 03:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
08-01 19:44Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.75$10.00
08-01 11:43Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?BUY0.2849999449$2.61
08-01 03:03Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.62$1.86
07-31 19:02Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.8$9.72
07-31 11:00Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-30 07:57Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6099999377$1.86
07-29 21:13New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-29 11:24Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6499997374$1.98
07-29 02:11Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53