0xD1320E8DDC746BbA301B93E7068298E086D5d314-1783850509416
0xd1320e8ddc746bba301b93e7068298e086d5d314
- Realised P&L
- $-341.06
- Volume
- $59.4k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $9.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.67at 0.603Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?
- +$182.53at 0.194Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$153.07at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 28?
- +$131.11at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$120.36at 0.445Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.4019416354 | $41.73 |
| 08-02 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4889142841 | $150.00 |
| 08-02 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | SELL | 0.8156907168 | $243.74 |
| 08-02 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1838526922 | $54.94 |
| 08-02 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.95 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.16 |
| 08-02 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.509999996 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.78754009 | $148.81 |
| 08-02 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.09707004 | $20.87 |
| 08-02 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.15 |
| 08-02 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.7178127896 | $46.47 |
| 08-02 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.27 |
| 08-02 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.63 |
| 08-02 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.36 |