PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mironski

0xd131be6d2c38e7aa58cf0c3ef97e563563e9eb1a

Realised P&L
$-232.15
Volume
$55.7k
Markets traded
740
Open portfolio
$115.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded740
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4030.295$100.99−$36.99
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.225$7.50+$2.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.135$4.50−$0.50
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1100.018$1.00−$4.99
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0790.026$0.67−$1.33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No0.2300.018$0.53−$6.47
Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 5.5 · Over0.1400.001$0.02−$4.98
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01−$2.98
France vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.3900.000$0.00−$10.00
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$3.00
South Africa leading at halftime? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over0.0650.000$0.00−$2.03
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 20:39Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.99$125.31
09-24 20:22Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.52$80.44
09-24 20:06Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.0529$2.65
09-24 20:04Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.6463924822$100.00
09-24 19:03Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.7899999997$100.00
09-24 18:54Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany?BUY0.1$3.00
09-24 18:51Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.12$6.00
09-24 18:44Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 5.5BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-20 14:55Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4599999965$50.00
09-20 12:12Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?SELL0.975$24.38
09-19 23:25Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
09-19 23:25Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.018$5.00
09-19 23:24US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.229999997$7.00
09-19 20:58Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.999$146.11
09-19 20:33Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5SELL0.99$66.16