benben2027
0xd12ffdab8737475523b0badf804ae3bb5ad21f5b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.47
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.035 | $1.73 | −$1.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.44 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.69at 0.253Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$6.67at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.10at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$2.47at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$2.08at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 09:05 | Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0678315607 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 16:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 15:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $1.39 |
| 08-28 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $2.68 |
| 08-27 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |