0xD12e67648A4a58751DD79b693E7537D8ADe925Ac-1768164359082
0xd12e67648a4a58751dd79b693e7537d8ade925ac
- Realised P&L
- $601.66
- Volume
- $90.3k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $185.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.78at 0.028Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$145.19at 0.360Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$114.60at 0.082Will Peru win on 2026-06-05?
- +$65.99at 0.123Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?
- +$51.24at 0.062Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:46 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.247 | $24.70 |
| 09-23 03:22 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.0217510846 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 18:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.039 | $9.75 |
| 09-22 01:43 | Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.45 |
| 09-18 05:07 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 05:05 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.362 | $10.86 |
| 09-17 04:22 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 09-16 05:06 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.044 | $9.68 |
| 09-14 05:46 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 05:44 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.0501774792 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:53 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2368685971 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 14:55 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 21:50 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1874999859 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:07 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2349999847 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:22 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |