Brainnotbrian555
0xd12ac41bfd2ff2499200332fd781fa41ae78e611
- Realised P&L
- $-105.16
- Volume
- $138.5k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $21.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.55at 0.910Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?
- +$91.06at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?
- +$82.65at 0.907Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?
- +$75.78at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?
- +$73.63at 0.938Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.9961206563 | $637.52 |
| 10-01 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.79 |
| 09-23 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8988116359 | $112.47 |
| 09-22 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0302336047 | $15.12 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 09-19 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $988.89 |
| 09-18 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $977.69 |
| 09-18 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $106.70 |
| 09-17 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $474.08 |
| 09-15 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $884.12 |
| 09-13 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.9984649726 | $819.24 |
| 09-12 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-11 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $639.36 |
| 09-10 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |