ColinHuang
0xd1220819c9d77881acd8b644b13fe57e842eb391
- Realised P&L
- $-66.20
- Volume
- $31.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $20.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.879 | $16.7k | +$565.73 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.915 | $1.7k | +$27.45 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.625 | $648.04 | −$21.14 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.905 | 0.885 | $318.60 | −$7.40 |
| Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes | 0.679 | 0.710 | $211.84 | +$9.23 |
| Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election? · Yes | 0.586 | 0.715 | $183.75 | +$33.16 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.805 | $161.00 | −$3.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yes | 0.935 | 0.946 | $141.90 | +$1.65 |
| Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes | 0.717 | 0.705 | $111.38 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.34at 0.856Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
- +$8.78at 0.875Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$4.90at 0.919Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$4.17at 0.960US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
- +$0.08at 0.923Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:51 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.69 | $89.70 |
| 10-09 23:57 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.69 | $17.06 |
| 10-09 23:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.6k |
| 10-09 23:06 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-09 22:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.935 | $140.25 |
| 10-09 22:36 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 10-09 22:33 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $144.00 |
| 10-09 22:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $642.85 |
| 10-08 17:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8571749764 | $254.10 |
| 10-08 16:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.846 | $882.38 |
| 10-08 08:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.0k |
| 10-07 20:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $7.2k |
| 10-07 14:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.0k |
| 10-06 20:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.842 | $193.66 |
| 10-06 20:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.842 | $1.1k |