ggily611a
0xd11c96ea0a79877eef73e18c4bbfb2b74485ff7d
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 1,975
- Open portfolio
- $91.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,975
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.60at 0.330Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$138.53at 0.828Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$124.00at 0.200Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?
- +$122.11at 0.660Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?
- +$119.80at 0.878Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.67 |
| 10-05 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0928601233 | $1.96 |
| 10-05 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.084 | $1.98 |
| 10-05 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9736666667 | $14.61 |
| 10-05 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $70.23 |
| 10-05 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $18.49 |
| 10-05 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $31.68 |
| 10-05 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.019201608 | $1.27 |
| 10-05 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9574232558 | $288.18 |
| 10-05 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0609458054 | $6.44 |
| 10-05 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.27 |
| 10-05 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.8855287671 | $64.64 |
| 10-05 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $106.23 |