ggily611a
0xd11c96ea0a79877eef73e18c4bbfb2b74485ff7d
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 1,641
- Open portfolio
- $236.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,641
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.60at 0.330Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$138.53at 0.828Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$124.00at 0.200Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?
- +$122.11at 0.660Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?
- +$119.80at 0.878Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $147.68 |
| 08-09 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.85 | $39.24 |
| 08-09 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8353956835 | $22.06 |
| 08-09 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 08-09 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0492617247 | $1.63 |
| 08-09 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-09 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 08-09 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.80 |
| 08-09 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $14.04 |
| 08-09 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-09 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-09 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-09 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-09 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-09 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |