ducky77
0xd1156233fca80629cbf6ce80d86a019e04e74906
- Realised P&L
- $8.6k
- Volume
- $475.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,071
- Open portfolio
- $71.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,071
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$793.10at 0.471Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?
- +$462.01at 0.692Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 11?
- +$338.80at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?
- +$321.52at 0.677Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 27?
- +$282.50at 0.812Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7796243618 | $21.38 |
| 09-18 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.764092751 | $33.94 |
| 09-17 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.7496293245 | $45.50 |
| 09-17 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.7986206897 | $46.32 |
| 09-17 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.7720366482 | $121.34 |
| 09-17 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4390048178 | $116.63 |
| 09-17 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7778888107 | $22.11 |
| 09-16 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.6182826834 | $157.50 |
| 09-16 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.7111100973 | $46.76 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.7246664084 | $74.84 |
| 09-16 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.7343879892 | $105.66 |
| 09-16 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.7382008654 | $32.41 |
| 09-16 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8150990753 | $30.85 |
| 09-15 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.55 |
| 09-15 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.8514225941 | $42.73 |