PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ducky77

0xd1156233fca80629cbf6ce80d86a019e04e74906

Realised P&L
$8.6k
Volume
$475.4k
Markets traded
1,071
Open portfolio
$71.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,071
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.7641.000$44.40+$10.46
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · Yes0.7801.000$27.41+$6.03
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24? · No0.9950.000$0.00$2.0k
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 6? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$155.93
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17? · No0.8000.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18? · Yes0.5090.000$0.00$289.88
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 14? · Yes0.7380.000$0.00$52.97
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 7? · Yes0.7560.000$0.00$334.76
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes0.7380.000$0.00$32.41
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 3? · Yes0.7830.000$0.00$11.75
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 27? · Yes0.5520.000$0.00$17.75
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3? · No0.5800.000$0.00$2.90
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 22? · Yes0.7320.000$0.00$148.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.7780.000$0.00$22.11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$3.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 04:35Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18?BUY0.7796243618$21.38
09-18 04:00Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.764092751$33.94
09-17 21:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?BUY0.7496293245$45.50
09-17 16:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.7986206897$46.32
09-17 16:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.7720366482$121.34
09-17 14:21Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.4390048178$116.63
09-17 13:20Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.7778888107$22.11
09-16 20:12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 16?BUY0.6182826834$157.50
09-16 19:17Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 16?BUY0.7111100973$46.76
09-16 18:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16?BUY0.7246664084$74.84
09-16 17:51Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 16?BUY0.7343879892$105.66
09-16 16:42Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16?BUY0.7382008654$32.41
09-16 13:51Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?BUY0.8150990753$30.85
09-15 20:58Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15?BUY0.82$4.55
09-15 19:51Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?BUY0.8514225941$42.73