0xd1154c0de1e241e1c0acc5f2baa4c2ba0fe9ebde
0xd1154c0de1e241e1c0acc5f2baa4c2ba0fe9ebde
- Realised P&L
- $2.21
- Volume
- $169.37
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $6.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.470 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.375 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.385 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.575 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.505 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.130 | $0.62 | −$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.72at 0.240Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$2.61at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$2.50at 0.379Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.470Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.52at 0.500Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:37 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:31 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:45 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:01 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 15:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999788 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 11:17 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998915 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 14:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.4799999485 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 06:47 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.509999935 | $1.49 |
| 09-20 22:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999197 | $1.49 |
| 09-19 16:20 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3399999954 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 18:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999512 | $1.18 |
| 09-17 04:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.49 |