0xd114968daf47276de25863296b351be22af6aec6
0xd114968daf47276de25863296b351be22af6aec6
- Realised P&L
- $41.62
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $87.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.977 | $21.94 | +$1.94 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $19.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.991 | $15.69 | +$5.40 |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.158 | $7.90 | −$2.10 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.018 | $7.00 | −$13.00 |
| Sweden snap election called in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.160 | $5.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Kenan Yıldız (Juventus) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.046 | $5.30 | −$4.70 |
| Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.013 | $3.78 | −$1.22 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.022 | $0.94 | −$4.06 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.190 | $0.57 | −$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.75at 0.020Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$66.26at 0.139Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?
- +$49.17at 0.169Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$38.58at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$37.86at 0.560Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 09:24 | Sweden snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 08:25 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 05:05 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1412344297 | $20.57 |
| 10-01 08:16 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.21 | $7.24 |
| 09-29 08:00 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2059999999 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 20:18 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 12:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.81 |
| 09-24 06:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 16:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.072 | $6.37 |
| 09-17 08:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 08:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 05:39 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.579 | $14.62 |
| 09-06 11:32 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.1994037827 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 07:38 | Will Kenan Yıldız (Juventus) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season? | BUY | 0.0867745807 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 08:56 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.1979999702 | $5.00 |