PolyBot

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Traders

0xD10ead48f18f8e5781847F878Fb302B234C1A44a-1770452690941

0xd10ead48f18f8e5781847f878fb302b234c1a44a

Realised P&L
$-459.36
Volume
$53.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.153$4.1k+$1.2k
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.1190.201$498.54+$204.30
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.019$62.69+$43.40
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · Yes0.1801.000$55.56+$45.56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? · Yes0.2601.000$38.46+$28.46
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.003$2.31−$7.69
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$249.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 07:08Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.1186313439$294.24
10-04 06:59Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1179616724$2.5k
10-04 01:45Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.006$19.29
10-03 10:48Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.08$450.00
10-03 10:47Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.004$3.42
10-03 10:47Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.078$4.48
10-03 10:47Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.54$13.71
10-03 10:47Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.18$177.49
03-08 08:56Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.0129917598$150.00
02-26 05:43Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
02-26 05:32Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1739999867$10.00
02-26 05:30Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$10.00
02-26 05:25Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.179999987$10.00
02-26 05:23Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
02-26 05:23Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.65$6.50