Herdonia
0xd106952ebf30a3125affd8a23b6c1f30c35fc79c
- Realised P&L
- $57.2k
- Volume
- $126.33M
- Markets traded
- 9,676
- Open portfolio
- $135.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,676
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bengals (-10.5) · Titans | 0.491 | 0.575 | $10.7k | +$1.6k |
| Spread: Patriots (-6.5) · Dolphins | 0.464 | 0.475 | $8.5k | +$190.71 |
| Titans vs. Bengals · Titans | 0.123 | 0.155 | $6.9k | +$1.4k |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Bears | 0.540 | 0.535 | $6.7k | −$62.91 |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) · Titans | 0.480 | 0.675 | $6.4k | +$1.8k |
| Vikings vs. Lions · Lions | 0.620 | 0.565 | $4.4k | −$431.05 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) · Falcons | 0.510 | 0.240 | $4.3k | −$4.8k |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) · Commanders | 0.476 | 0.465 | $4.2k | −$102.51 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Patriots | 0.457 | 0.455 | $3.9k | −$19.26 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs | 0.508 | 0.505 | $3.9k | −$24.28 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.165 | $3.3k | −$6.9k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) · Steelers | 0.500 | 0.885 | $3.3k | +$1.4k |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 · Over | 0.469 | 0.545 | $3.1k | +$427.59 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.710 | 0.715 | $3.0k | +$20.56 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.530 | 0.555 | $2.7k | +$123.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.8kat 0.726Lions vs. Bills
- +$98.0kat 0.465Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
- +$93.5kat 0.441Bengals vs. Texans
- +$80.5kat 0.479Lakers vs. Pistons
- +$76.7kat 0.385Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:18 | Jaguars vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.5099999995 | $21.55 |
| 11-01 18:18 | Jaguars vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.5099999773 | $10.77 |
| 11-01 11:54 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $131.95 |
| 11-01 11:54 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $5.33 |
| 11-01 11:54 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $27.04 |
| 11-01 11:53 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $55.25 |
| 11-01 11:53 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $260.00 |
| 11-01 11:53 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.1299999987 | $7.72 |
| 11-01 11:53 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $85.15 |
| 11-01 11:53 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 11-01 11:50 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $258.03 |
| 11-01 11:50 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 11-01 11:49 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $33.90 |
| 10-31 23:44 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.26 | $2.8k |
| 10-31 23:28 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $323.69 |