Herdonia
0xd106952ebf30a3125affd8a23b6c1f30c35fc79c
- Realised P&L
- $507.4k
- Volume
- $105.48M
- Markets traded
- 7,795
- Open portfolio
- $61.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,795
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: BAL (-8.5) · NO | 0.505 | 0.505 | $11.0k | −$12.65 |
| Giants vs. Rams · Rams | 0.749 | 0.735 | $7.3k | −$144.69 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Over | 0.509 | 0.515 | $6.8k | +$82.20 |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) · Vikings | 0.538 | 0.545 | $5.7k | +$73.12 |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) · Giants | 0.530 | 0.535 | $3.5k | +$33.06 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Seahawks | 0.510 | 0.505 | $3.2k | −$31.89 |
| Spread: SF (-12.5) · SF | 0.507 | 0.495 | $3.1k | −$77.95 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Commanders | 0.480 | 0.475 | $2.9k | −$30.55 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills | 0.570 | 0.565 | $2.1k | −$18.02 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons · Panthers | 0.541 | 0.575 | $1.7k | +$97.16 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Cardinals | 0.490 | 0.495 | $1.7k | +$16.84 |
| Bengals vs. Texans · Texans | 0.590 | 0.595 | $1.7k | +$13.97 |
| Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 47.5 · Under | 0.561 | 0.565 | $1.2k | +$7.83 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.523 | 0.525 | $948.57 | +$4.13 |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.572 | 0.585 | $855.90 | +$18.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.5kat 0.479Lakers vs. Pistons
- +$76.7kat 0.385Cavaliers vs. Thunder
- +$75.3kat 0.401Knicks vs. Celtics
- +$71.4kat 0.424Red Wings vs. Sabres
- +$69.3kat 0.513Clippers vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:31 | Panthers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $184.41 |
| 09-17 03:12 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7499999997 | $648.29 |
| 09-17 01:48 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.75 | $195.21 |
| 09-17 00:34 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7499999997 | $1.3k |
| 09-17 00:14 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $397.36 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.5299999987 | $99.57 |
| 09-17 00:14 | MIA vs. SF: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.4399999998 | $322.69 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.4699999956 | $42.89 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $321.33 |
| 09-17 00:14 | MIA vs. SF: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.4399999995 | $68.12 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Spread: Bears (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $869.52 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1.7k |
| 09-16 23:09 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $534.43 |
| 09-16 22:31 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $3.1k |
| 09-16 22:31 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $140.25 |