wdnmdb
0xd10059665ef932f95472af48684ade862343deb5
- Realised P&L
- $-241.19
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $104.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.245 | $87.71 | −$41.17 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.980 | 0.981 | $9.01 | +$0.00 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.972 | 0.967 | $7.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.18at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8AM ET
- +$4.89at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7AM ET
- +$4.65at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10AM ET
- +$4.63at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6AM ET
- +$4.60at 0.746Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 06:50 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $4.99 |
| 09-05 03:38 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 08:29 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 00:20 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.99 |
| 08-30 00:09 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 08-29 22:56 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.98 |
| 08-29 22:40 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 05:17 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.849999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 02:53 | Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.99 |
| 08-28 02:42 | Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 01:16 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.984 | $6.99 |
| 08-27 22:05 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9849999993 | $7.00 |
| 08-27 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.996999991 | $9.85 |
| 08-27 18:11 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.957 | $5.99 |
| 08-27 15:00 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9579999958 | $6.00 |