0xD0f884F3Fecca09F4A0945620B4beFa64f3D73a1-1768537544089
0xd0f884f3fecca09f4a0945620b4befa64f3d73a1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $496.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,435
- Open portfolio
- $12.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,435
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No | 0.640 | 0.760 | $11.88 | +$1.88 |
| GTA VI released by October 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.013 | $0.59 | −$4.41 |
| Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.033 | $0.09 | −$1.91 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.98at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$290.21at 0.363Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$262.33at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
- +$238.57at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$215.50at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 23:13 | LAPTOP FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0201203195 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 13:19 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 09-09 12:59 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 09-09 12:33 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.59 | $207.25 |
| 09-09 12:20 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4270109233 | $150.00 |
| 08-23 04:56 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 07-16 14:58 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.369 | $60.38 |
| 07-16 14:52 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 07-16 14:51 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 07-15 20:56 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.379317228 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 18:55 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 18:55 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.40 |
| 07-14 18:55 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-14 18:54 | Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 07-14 18:54 | Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.047 | $4.70 |