masturbek
0xd0ef719f58e0a024715e176dbc553e4fc66b4179
- Realised P&L
- $10.28
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $205.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.960 | $55.45 | +$1.13 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.967 | $54.80 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.940 | $53.40 | +$0.57 |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? · No | 0.967 | 0.739 | $41.53 | −$12.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.930Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.940Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
- +$1.45at 0.971Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$0.80at 0.977Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
- +$0.75at 0.985 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 12:54 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.979 | $48.95 |
| 04-07 12:05 | Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $20.00 |