PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pompeytom

0xd0e736035b7d140ec5e8cae85c0a32305e46b0d1

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$113.7k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$194.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0610.064$111.48+$3.48
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4810.080$43.34$217.09
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1710.032$26.61$117.56
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.245$13.25$25.16
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$122.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$12.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 December 8-14? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$40.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$250.81
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 11? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$61.38
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · No0.3400.000$0.00$41.48
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$391.80
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$31.00
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$266.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$135.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 14:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999736$8.00
09-02 14:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999921$20.00
09-02 14:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.44$293.04
09-02 14:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.44$263.56
01-30 11:06Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999965$38.41
01-30 11:05Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3876739553$100.00
01-30 11:05Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999981$50.00
01-30 11:05Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.061999999$59.00
01-30 10:39Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0613323941$20.00
01-30 10:39Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0609999972$20.00
01-30 10:38Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.06$8.04
01-27 23:50Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.02$12.00
01-27 23:49Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?BUY0.0206063711$31.00
01-27 23:48Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1?BUY0.0589999995$122.00
01-27 23:48Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?BUY0.3399999978$100.00