PolyBot

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Traders

kepa

0xd0e4635b89d58317292ab1ff932f613f742eac82

Realised P&L
$-5.73
Volume
$249.85
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$1.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · Yes0.0500.040$1.58$0.42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6000.220$0.37$0.63
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-09-21? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Fiorentina vs. Como end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-09-24? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-21? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$1.00
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Alaves vs. Sevilla end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00$2.00
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-02 21:06Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.6$1.00
05-02 21:04UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.05$2.00
02-05 13:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.239999856$1.00
10-29 18:25Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?SELL0.966$0.99
10-29 18:24Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?BUY0.9669999932$1.00
10-29 15:15Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?BUY0.2029999345$2.00
10-29 15:14Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
09-26 12:11Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
09-26 12:10Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
09-23 21:52Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-09-24?BUY0.579999826$1.00
09-23 21:51Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-09-24?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
09-23 21:51Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?BUY0.33999983$1.00
09-23 21:50Will Real Betis vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
09-23 21:49Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?BUY0.66$1.00
09-23 21:49Will Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca end in a draw?BUY0.2799998432$1.00