kepa
0xd0e4635b89d58317292ab1ff932f613f742eac82
- Realised P&L
- $-5.73
- Volume
- $249.85
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $1.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$2.57at 0.280Will Real Betis vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
- +$2.45at 0.290Will Valencia win on 2025-09-20?
- +$2.23at 0.310Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?
- +$1.94at 0.340Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 21:06 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 21:04 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 13:53 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 18:25 | Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | SELL | 0.966 | $0.99 |
| 10-29 18:24 | Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | BUY | 0.9669999932 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 15:15 | Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | BUY | 0.2029999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 15:14 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 12:11 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:10 | Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:52 | Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-09-24? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:51 | Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-09-24? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:51 | Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:50 | Will Real Betis vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:49 | Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:49 | Will Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |