PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rzgtrader

0xd0e1f320110a15dcfb73befae1e449ce88b2c1a5

Realised P&L
$-7.9k
Volume
$208.9k
Markets traded
939
Open portfolio
$877.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded939
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1810.043$599.33$1.9k
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1780.032$180.13$819.86
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1800.070$46.67$73.33
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0170.058$28.75+$20.25
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1410.011$14.60$173.12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0150.011$5.75$1.75
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.155$0.62$0.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00$1.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.2080.000$0.00$5.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down0.0670.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.5800.000$0.00$1.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.3560.000$0.00$9.38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$46.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 18:41Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.0490771136$102.00
05-16 18:41Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1799999989$120.00
05-16 18:32Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.017$8.50
05-16 18:322026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.015$6.90
05-16 18:32Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.02$10.00
05-16 18:32Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.02$10.00
05-16 18:32Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.017$8.50
05-16 18:32Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.019$9.50
05-16 18:32Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023$11.50
05-16 18:32Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$11.00
05-16 18:32Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$12.00
05-16 18:32Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.04$5.78
05-16 18:32Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.034$11.32
05-16 18:32Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$11.00
05-16 18:32Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$8.00