0xd0e164db4f019b80b13b3e194967d78986065be3
- Realised P&L
- $53.75
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.006 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.018 | 0.005 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.74at 0.295Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$18.33at 0.384Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Draw at halftime?
- +$18.20at 0.363Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?
- +$17.90at 0.105UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$16.86at 0.157UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 14:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $23.00 |
| 09-16 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999982 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6655629119 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 05:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 19:43 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999972 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 19:38 | BNB Up or Down - September 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7283464513 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 19:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $15.00 |