AnneCarter286
0xd0dd31b23a54262f6d9df60cc9b0dde067988ced
- Realised P&L
- $-29.30
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 427
- Open portfolio
- $49.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded427
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $27.12 | −$0.08 |
| Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $22.60 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$0.10at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 2?
- +$0.09at 0.998Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.998US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9989999716 | $27.20 |
| 09-28 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9979999599 | $23.22 |
| 09-27 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.40 |
| 09-23 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.45 |
| 09-22 22:12 | Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.99 |
| 09-22 15:32 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.60 |
| 09-22 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.20 |
| 09-21 19:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.60 |
| 09-18 23:33 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999754 | $27.30 |
| 09-18 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.50 |
| 09-17 11:36 | Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 song this week? | BUY | 0.9988099214 | $26.80 |
| 09-13 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.30 |
| 09-11 02:02 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.23 |
| 09-10 19:47 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.10 |
| 09-07 14:56 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.30 |