101555
0xd0d9969dd4d3d759bd72684d785fc74fe04c4c69
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $156.1k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $73.45
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $40 September 14-20? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $31.01 | −$0.06 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 18? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $22.94 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $75 on September 19? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.975 | $19.50 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$19.25at 0.998Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$11.02at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on April 4?
- +$10.52at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 3?
- +$10.00at 0.043Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:57 | Will Solana dip to $40 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.07 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will the price of Solana be above $75 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.95 |
| 09-17 04:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $21.87 |
| 08-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.21 |
| 08-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 07-06 11:26 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $27.79 |
| 07-06 11:25 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.01 |
| 07-06 11:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $21.56 |
| 07-06 11:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $20.79 |
| 06-29 10:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.30 |
| 06-29 10:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.79 |
| 06-29 10:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 05-16 11:33 | Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $11.84 |