0xd0d487d213f16da76e58d1a30f9e2de17a540dd1
0xd0d487d213f16da76e58d1a30f9e2de17a540dd1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.03
- Volume
- $164.91
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 25? · No | 0.660 | 0.935 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? · No | 0.810 | 0.967 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 25? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 25? · No | 0.920 | 0.985 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 25? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.033 | $0.26 | −$1.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 25? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.015 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on September 25? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.03at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.0952380952 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0284616479 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.0098039216 | $1.00 |