PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

newphonewhatdis

0xd0d0ccb1a5ba2b28c71a44fca1756c45c5478917

Realised P&L
$-149.30
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$228.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6130.285$79.80−$91.80
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5900.295$29.50−$29.50
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.275$27.50−$22.50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3100.275$27.50−$3.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.235$23.50−$20.50
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · No0.5900.875$17.50+$5.70
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.1870.006$6.77−$188.00
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.005$5.50−$11.50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0580.051$5.05−$0.75
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.015$3.75−$2.00
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0490.017$0.82−$1.63
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes0.0380.005$0.51−$3.01
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0040.001$0.50−$3.50
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$22.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 03:29Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.55$55.00
05-14 14:33Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.2214285714$31.00
05-14 14:33Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.22$1.45
05-14 14:33Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.219$8.76
05-14 05:29Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.186$13.97
04-29 18:38Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?BUY0.17$8.41
03-26 22:11Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.035$17.50
03-17 15:492026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.004$4.00
03-12 16:53Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$50.00
02-23 03:37Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.65$19.50
02-23 03:362026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.59$59.00
02-23 03:362026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.44$44.00
02-12 00:15Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.32$3.20
02-09 23:26US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY0.02$2.00
02-03 21:31Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.023$5.75