0xd0Cf64Ece8692C1BB273AD074b11E107ca308d57-1789413946191
0xd0cf64ece8692c1bb273ad074b11e107ca308d57
- Realised P&L
- $-106.25
- Volume
- $426.97
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $127.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.975 | $80.37 | +$40.37 |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%? · No | 0.420 | 0.975 | $46.43 | +$26.43 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.008 | 0.002 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.474 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.30at 0.517Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$9.65at 0.517Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$9.45at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$8.92at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:20 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%? | BUY | 0.4849984522 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 18:25 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0078431373 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $38.40 |
| 09-14 20:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-14 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 20:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.47408 | $9.48 |
| 09-14 20:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-14 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $18.47 |
| 09-14 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $9.24 |