PolyBot

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Traders

h4v0c

0xd0cc469b51cfe87e11e5404926d089f2f215b089

Realised P&L
$39.61
Volume
$548.44
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$307.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5700.875$76.75+$26.75
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7200.955$66.32+$16.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No0.4920.665$54.06+$14.06
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? · No0.6000.998$51.62+$20.58
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? · Yes0.8200.830$40.49+$0.49
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? · Yes0.3260.120$18.42$31.58
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.6570.001$0.00$5.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 01:17Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?BUY0.82$40.00
09-14 22:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.492$40.00
09-08 06:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.33$2.64
09-08 06:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.33$2.64
09-02 17:48Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?BUY0.6$10.34
09-02 17:48Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?BUY0.6$10.34
09-02 17:47Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?BUY0.6$10.34
09-02 15:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.65$5.20
09-02 15:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.66$5.28
09-02 15:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.66$5.28
09-02 05:29Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.79$6.32
09-01 19:37Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?BUY0.97$7.76
09-01 08:53Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.3257727684$50.00
09-01 08:50Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.7199999965$50.00
09-01 08:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5699999967$50.00