h4v0c
0xd0cc469b51cfe87e11e5404926d089f2f215b089
- Realised P&L
- $39.61
- Volume
- $548.44
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $307.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.875 | $76.75 | +$26.75 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.955 | $66.32 | +$16.32 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No | 0.492 | 0.665 | $54.06 | +$14.06 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? · No | 0.600 | 0.998 | $51.62 | +$20.58 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.830 | $40.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.120 | $18.42 | −$31.58 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.657 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.800Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.975Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:17 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.82 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 22:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.492 | $40.00 |
| 09-08 06:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.64 |
| 09-08 06:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.64 |
| 09-02 17:48 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.34 |
| 09-02 17:48 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.34 |
| 09-02 17:47 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.34 |
| 09-02 15:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 09-02 15:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 09-02 15:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 09-02 05:29 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $6.32 |
| 09-01 19:37 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.76 |
| 09-01 08:53 | Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.3257727684 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 08:50 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 08:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |