reelcs
0xd0c25fcb46bc6eddd06d91ec97f7e805bbdf8915
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $413.9k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.025US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.8kat 0.058Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 1?
- +$1.2kat 0.256Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?
- +$1.0kat 0.254Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$1.0kat 0.155Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.336834717 | $89.26 |
| 10-11 04:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3596905793 | $528.89 |
| 10-11 03:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3478626446 | $210.46 |
| 10-10 14:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $125.65 |
| 10-09 03:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.74 |
| 10-09 03:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.395138617 | $297.18 |
| 10-08 22:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3982982353 | $135.42 |
| 10-08 22:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $80.00 |
| 10-08 22:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $120.00 |
| 10-07 20:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $94.18 |
| 10-07 19:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $109.89 |
| 10-07 18:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 18:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3384149816 | $188.40 |
| 10-07 18:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $80.00 |
| 10-07 18:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32300525 | $129.20 |