0xd0bd0bee90a8099e92290e33e5274a64ffd7b914
0xd0bd0bee90a8099e92290e33e5274a64ffd7b914
- Realised P&L
- $-7.84
- Volume
- $139.55
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $20.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.430 | $7.39 | +$2.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 4? · No | 0.760 | 0.765 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.295 | $4.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5? · No | 0.536 | 0.440 | $3.74 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.34at 0.744Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?
- +$-1.74at 0.747Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?
- +$-2.00at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5?
- +$-2.69at 0.283Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.40 |
| 10-04 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4? | SELL | 0.5672925764 | $3.90 |
| 10-04 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.290799116 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.49 |
| 10-04 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 4? | SELL | 0.1454200542 | $2.68 |
| 10-04 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.2708978307 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.7268005182 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.40 |
| 10-04 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.5363696144 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.2943658321 | $5.00 |